Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PIT
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.306 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
xwOBA
0.208
0.244
0.283
0.323
0.358
wOBA
0.262
0.290
0.321
0.352
0.380
ISO
0.054
0.084
0.117
0.151
0.181
K%
12.4%
17.0%
22.2%
27.4%
32.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.0%
4
-21 vs proj
Exit velocity86.8
32
Hard-hit%42.0%
64
+30 vs proj
xBA0.326
56
xSLG0.484
40
xwOBA0.306
47
BB%7.8%
40
Bat speed69.0
40
K%21.6%
55
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
77
Range Runs1.6 · 1B
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
29
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.3% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.300 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
59
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
23 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| Sample | 102 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.123 to 0.274 | +/- 0.076 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.019 to 0.201 | +/- 0.091 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 0.2% to 4.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.7% | 11.3% to 38.4% | +/- 13.5% |
| K% | 25.4% | 7.4% to 35.7% | +/- 14.2% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 1.1% to 9.1% | +/- 4.0% |
| BABIP | 0.308 | 0.188 to 0.377 | +/- 0.095 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |