Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
Yorke, Nick
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PIT
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.306 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
xwOBA
0.246
0.270
0.296
0.322
0.346
wOBA
0.270
0.297
0.328
0.359
0.386
ISO
0.052
0.080
0.112
0.144
0.173
K%
14.3%
16.9%
19.9%
22.8%
25.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.5%
23
Barrel%3.7%
29
-19 vs proj
Bat speed71.0
72
Exit velocity90.7
81
Hard-hit%53.8%
96
+48 vs proj
K%16.8%
80
+16 vs proj
xBA0.313
38
xSLG0.466
34
xwOBA0.306
46
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
27
Arm Runs-0.1 · 3B
Limited
Range Runs0.3 · 3B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · 3B
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.9% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
71
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
53
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
78 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.006 |
| Sample | 107 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 247 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.322 | 0.192 to 0.330 | +/- 0.069 |
| ISO | 0.161 | 0.060 to 0.237 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 0.7% to 6.8% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.6% | 23.7% to 45.8% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 19.5% | 13.2% to 29.2% | +/- 8.0% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 2.2% to 10.4% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.285 | 0.189 to 0.355 | +/- 0.083 |
vs LHP
33 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.104 |
| K% | 7.1% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
114 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.098 |
| K% | 7.7% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |