Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
Yorke, Nick
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PIT
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.266
0.290
0.315
0.337
wOBA
0.264
0.288
0.314
0.341
0.365
ISO
0.050
0.076
0.105
0.135
0.161
K%
15.4%
17.9%
20.7%
23.4%
25.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
31
-22 vs proj
Exit velocity88.8
62
Hard-hit%49.0%
92
+36 vs proj
xBA0.313
43
xSLG0.446
30
xwOBA0.289
33
-37 vs proj
BB%6.5%
28
Bat speed71.0
72
K%19.6%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 3B
19
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
27
Range Runs0.6 · 3B
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · 3B
56
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
72
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
81
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
52
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
97 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.033 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| Sample | 138 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 247 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.322 | 0.192 to 0.330 | +/- 0.069 |
| ISO | 0.161 | 0.060 to 0.237 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 0.7% to 6.8% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.6% | 23.7% to 45.8% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 19.5% | 13.2% to 29.2% | +/- 8.0% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 2.2% to 10.4% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.285 | 0.189 to 0.355 | +/- 0.083 |
vs LHP
33 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.104 |
| K% | 7.1% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
114 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.098 |
| K% | 7.7% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |