Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / MIN · 2026

Gonzalez, Gabriel

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.294 xwOBA
Range
0.067 to 0.330
Live Δ
--
Team MIN Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 22 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
63
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
68
Plate skills8 metrics
62
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.262
xwOBA current pace0.285
xwOBA rolling p500.263
Observed weight5%
xwOBA
0.138 0.197 0.263 0.330 0.389
wOBA
0.245 0.336 0.436 0.537 0.628
ISO
0.001 0.045 0.095 0.144 0.189
K%
7.5% 13.7% 20.6% 27.4% 33.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
68 Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.3% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 5.0% · rebadged research
99
Correct Decisions72.1% · rebadged research
93
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
64
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
34
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.363 · validated
15
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline118
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

7 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gonzalez, Gabriel · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsPull 0%Center field third: 86% of plotted batted ballsCenter 86%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-05-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.6 / LA -58.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · popup · EV 59.6 / LA 81.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -15.02026-09-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -9.02026-09-05 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -12.02026-09-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 3.02025-03-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 14.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gonzalez, Gabriel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 37%37%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 17%17%Zone contact: 100%100%Contact: 83%83%Hard hit: 17%17% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances201----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2940.067 to 0.330+/- 0.132
ISO0.1330.019 to 0.216+/- 0.099
Barrel%3.5%0.2% to 5.1%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%36.2%6.5% to 37.6%+/- 15.5%
K%25.7%6.6% to 34.0%+/- 13.7%
BB%6.1%0.5% to 9.8%+/- 4.7%
BABIP0.3040.133 to 0.379+/- 0.123
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

7 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.5%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

11 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.6%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%