Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIN · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIN
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 22
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
75
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.262 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.424 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.264 |
| Observed weight | 2% |
xwOBA
0.134
0.196
0.264
0.333
0.394
wOBA
0.258
0.408
0.575
0.742
0.892
ISO
0.001
0.047
0.098
0.149
0.195
K%
6.9%
13.2%
20.3%
27.4%
33.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
59
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 10.0% · rebadged research
99
Correct Decisions77.8% · rebadged research
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline123
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
3 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.066 to 0.330 | +/- 0.132 |
| ISO | 0.133 | 0.019 to 0.216 | +/- 0.099 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 0.2% to 5.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.2% | 6.6% to 37.6% | +/- 15.5% |
| K% | 25.7% | 6.6% to 34.0% | +/- 13.7% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 0.5% to 9.8% | +/- 4.7% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.133 to 0.380 | +/- 0.124 |
vs LHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
11 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.6% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |