Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / PHI · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PHI
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.279 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.233 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.271 |
| Observed weight | 18% |
xwOBA
0.188
0.227
0.271
0.315
0.354
wOBA
0.196
0.236
0.280
0.324
0.364
ISO
0.071
0.102
0.137
0.172
0.204
K%
10.9%
16.3%
22.3%
28.4%
33.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
45
Arm Runs1.0 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
78
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 46.8% · rebadged research
3
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions54.2% · rebadged research
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.256 · borderline
95
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
41
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
78
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.360 · validated
17
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline86
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
35 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.302 | 0.134 to 0.334 | +/- 0.100 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.056 to 0.214 | +/- 0.079 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 5.3% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.3% | 12.9% to 38.5% | +/- 12.8% |
| K% | 26.0% | 8.4% to 36.0% | +/- 13.8% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 1.7% to 9.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.202 to 0.370 | +/- 0.084 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |