Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIN · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team MIN
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.271 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.166 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.261 |
| Observed weight | 10% |
xwOBA
0.169
0.212
0.261
0.309
0.352
wOBA
0.087
0.134
0.187
0.239
0.287
ISO
0.033
0.072
0.117
0.161
0.201
K%
14.0%
19.7%
25.9%
32.1%
37.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · CF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
70
Regression applied
Range Runs0.3 · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 80.0% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions73.9% · rebadged research
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
12 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.124 to 0.328 | +/- 0.102 |
| ISO | 0.146 | 0.045 to 0.232 | +/- 0.094 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 6.1% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.9% | 13.4% to 40.7% | +/- 13.7% |
| K% | 25.1% | 9.7% to 35.9% | +/- 13.1% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 1.3% to 9.2% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.309 | 0.197 to 0.365 | +/- 0.084 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.8% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.9% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |