Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
Cheng, Tsung-Che
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team BOS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.303 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 18% |
xwOBA
0.188
0.228
0.273
0.317
0.358
wOBA
0.228
0.268
0.312
0.357
0.397
ISO
0.035
0.066
0.100
0.135
0.166
K%
15.3%
20.6%
26.4%
32.2%
37.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
73
Arm Runs-0.0 · SS
Small sample
Range Runs1.0 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · SS
11
Sprint Speed29.0 · SS
90
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 80.0% · rebadged research
99
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.3% · rebadged research
98
Correct Decisions80.8% · rebadged research
100
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
24
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline125
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
11 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.260 | 0.128 to 0.332 | +/- 0.102 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.045 to 0.204 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 4.0% | 0.2% to 5.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.2% | 11.6% to 40.6% | +/- 14.5% |
| K% | 26.9% | 9.7% to 36.4% | +/- 13.3% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 1.2% to 11.2% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.305 | 0.155 to 0.369 | +/- 0.107 |
vs LHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.005 |
| K% | 1.3% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
12 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.006 |
| K% | 1.2% |
| BB% | 0.7% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |