Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team SF
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.258 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.314 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 26% |
xwOBA
0.197
0.233
0.273
0.313
0.349
wOBA
0.337
0.370
0.408
0.445
0.479
ISO
0.056
0.091
0.129
0.167
0.201
K%
12.1%
16.4%
21.1%
25.9%
30.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.3%
23
Barrel%5.1%
50
+20 vs proj
Bat speed67.4
23
Exit velocity87.7
40
Hard-hit%36.4%
35
K%21.5%
52
+18 vs proj
xBA0.353
77
xSLG0.514
50
xwOBA0.314
55
+29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.8 · C
16
Catcher Throwing1.9 · C
91
Framing Runs1.4 · C
66
Pop Time1.9 · C
82
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · C
39
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.5% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
39
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
23
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
33
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
47
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
51 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.124 |
| Sample | 79 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.120 to 0.321 | +/- 0.101 |
| ISO | 0.148 | 0.027 to 0.219 | +/- 0.096 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 0.2% to 5.0% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.6% | 11.0% to 41.0% | +/- 15.0% |
| K% | 25.1% | 8.3% to 32.4% | +/- 12.1% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 1.1% to 10.1% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.146 to 0.361 | +/- 0.107 |
vs LHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.7% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.8% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |