Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / COL · 2026
Veen, Zac
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team COL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.216 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.275 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.232 |
| Observed weight | 26% |
xwOBA
0.171
0.199
0.232
0.264
0.293
wOBA
0.291
0.324
0.360
0.397
0.430
ISO
0.060
0.092
0.128
0.163
0.196
K%
20.0%
24.2%
28.9%
33.7%
37.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.8%
33
Exit velocity82.9
8
Hard-hit%37.5%
46
+16 vs proj
xBA0.350
83
xSLG0.611
82
xwOBA0.275
22
BB%8.9%
55
+33 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%39.2%
1
-25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength93.4 · LF
49
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
9
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-3.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · LF
11
Sprint Speed28.4 · LF
78
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 51.3% · rebadged research
5
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.0% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions58.6% · rebadged research
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
25
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
55
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312 · validated
90
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
27 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.099 |
| Sample | 79 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 234 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.261 | 0.129 to 0.289 | +/- 0.080 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.036 to 0.218 | +/- 0.091 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 4.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.8% | 16.8% to 38.5% | +/- 10.8% |
| K% | 27.2% | 15.3% to 39.2% | +/- 11.9% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 1.4% to 9.2% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.182 to 0.351 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
27 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.041 |
| K% | 8.5% |
| BB% | 1.4% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |
vs RHP
65 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.042 |
| K% | 8.6% |
| BB% | 1.4% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |