Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026

Garcia, Jhostynxon

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.281 xwOBA
Range
0.104 to 0.336
Live Δ
yes
Team PIT Archetype Impact slugger Age 24 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
29
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
29
Defense1 metrics
50
Speed1 metrics
56
Plate skills10 metrics
47
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.272
xwOBA current pace0.240
xwOBA rolling p500.265
Observed weight21%
xwOBA
0.173 0.217 0.265 0.314 0.358
wOBA
0.128 0.159 0.193 0.228 0.258
ISO
0.010 0.040 0.074 0.107 0.137
K%
18.4% 23.4% 29.0% 34.7% 39.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.3%
29
Exit velocity84.4
15
Hard-hit%34.3%
32
xBA0.323
55
xSLG0.461
36
xwOBA0.240
6 -20 vs proj
BB%1.7%
1 -31 vs proj
Bat speed72.7
87
K%38.3%
2 -17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Arm Runs-0.9 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.2 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · CF
56
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 48.4% · rebadged research
3
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.5% · rebadged research
88
Correct Decisions57.7% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
53
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
9
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Garcia, Jhostynxon · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.240 2026-09-12: 0.2402026-09-13: 0.2402026-09-14: 0.2402026-09-18: 0.2402026-09-19: 0.2402026-09-20: 0.2402026-09-21: 0.2402026-09-22: 0.2402026-09-23: 0.2402026-09-24: 0.2402026-09-25: 0.2402026-09-26: 0.240 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

23 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Garcia, Jhostynxon · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 65% of plotted batted ballsCenter 65%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 325 CF 399 RF 320 2026-03-15 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 49.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -15.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 22.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · popup · EV 50.6 / LA 46.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · popup · EV 73.3 / LA 60.02026-05-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 5.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 15.02026-05-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 11.02026-05-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 5.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 68.8 / LA 18.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -4.02026-05-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 13.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 36.0 / LA -3.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 56.02026-05-25 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 0.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -5.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 16.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 32.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 27.02026-08-02 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -1.02026-08-13 · field out · FA · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -37.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Garcia, Jhostynxon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 46%46%Whiff: 36%36%Zone contact: 74%74%Contact: 64%64%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.041
wOBA Δ-0.088
Sample60 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances205----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2810.104 to 0.336+/- 0.116
ISO0.1370.044 to 0.206+/- 0.081
Barrel%4.0%0.2% to 5.5%+/- 2.6%
Hard-Hit%35.3%9.0% to 42.1%+/- 16.6%
K%29.3%10.3% to 37.1%+/- 13.4%
BB%6.9%0.7% to 10.0%+/- 4.6%
BABIP0.3010.128 to 0.354+/- 0.113
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

9 career PA

xwOBA0.012
K%2.3%
BB%0.9%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

4 career PA

xwOBA0.011
K%2.3%
BB%0.7%
Barrel0.0%