Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
Garcia, Jhostynxon
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team PIT
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.253 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.269 |
| Observed weight | 15% |
xwOBA
0.169
0.217
0.269
0.322
0.369
wOBA
0.152
0.195
0.241
0.288
0.330
ISO
0.007
0.039
0.076
0.112
0.145
K%
16.9%
22.3%
28.4%
34.5%
40.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · LF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF · small sample regression applied
69
Regression applied
Range Runs0.4 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 48.9% · rebadged research
4
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.5% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions56.9% · rebadged research
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
43
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
30
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 205 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.279 | 0.104 to 0.336 | +/- 0.116 |
| ISO | 0.137 | 0.044 to 0.206 | +/- 0.081 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.2% | 9.0% to 42.1% | +/- 16.6% |
| K% | 29.3% | 10.2% to 37.1% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 0.7% to 10.0% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.128 to 0.354 | +/- 0.113 |
vs LHP
9 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.012 |
| K% | 2.3% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.011 |
| K% | 2.3% |
| BB% | 0.7% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |