Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team MIA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.249 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.221 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.248 |
| Observed weight | 3% |
xwOBA
0.137
0.190
0.248
0.306
0.359
wOBA
0.084
0.190
0.307
0.425
0.531
ISO
0.009
0.054
0.105
0.155
0.201
K%
11.5%
17.2%
23.5%
29.8%
35.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
56
Regression applied
Range Runs0.1 · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 43.5% · rebadged research
1
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions47.1% · rebadged research
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
20
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
60
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline73
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
4 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.281 | 0.099 to 0.327 | +/- 0.114 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.025 to 0.223 | +/- 0.099 |
| Barrel% | 4.0% | 0.2% to 6.5% | +/- 3.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.0% | 10.2% to 43.6% | +/- 16.7% |
| K% | 24.7% | 9.2% to 34.0% | +/- 12.4% |
| BB% | 6.5% | 1.0% to 10.3% | +/- 4.7% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.135 to 0.367 | +/- 0.116 |
vs LHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.2% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
23 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.3% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |