Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / COL · 2026
Amador, Adael
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team COL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
17
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.270 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.294 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
xwOBA
0.260
0.276
0.294
0.312
0.328
wOBA
0.310
0.341
0.376
0.411
0.442
ISO
0.126
0.156
0.190
0.224
0.254
K%
13.1%
15.5%
18.1%
20.7%
23.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
63
+26 vs proj
Exit velocity82.5
7
Hard-hit%23.9%
6
-22 vs proj
xBA0.233
2
xSLG0.362
5
xwOBA0.270
19
-48 vs proj
BB%10.2%
71
+29 vs proj
Bat speed67.2
23
K%12.5%
96
+28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength79.7 · 2B
4
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
47
Range Runs0.4 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · 2B
30
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.0% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.9% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions75.3% · rebadged research
98
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
52
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
53 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.048 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
| Sample | 88 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 270 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.318 | 0.242 to 0.324 | +/- 0.041 |
| ISO | 0.159 | 0.057 to 0.231 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 4.0% | 1.4% to 6.3% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.4% | 24.8% to 40.3% | +/- 7.8% |
| K% | 19.8% | 14.0% to 27.4% | +/- 6.7% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 3.6% to 11.4% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.273 | 0.218 to 0.342 | +/- 0.062 |
vs LHP
30 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.122 |
| K% | 8.1% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |
vs RHP
144 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.115 |
| K% | 8.3% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |