Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / MIN · 2026

Rodriguez, Emmanuel

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.299 xwOBA
Range
0.136 to 0.274
Live Δ
--
Team MIN Archetype Impact slugger Age 23 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
45
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
80
Speed1 metrics
65
Plate skills9 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.250
xwOBA current pace0.353
xwOBA rolling p500.268
Observed weight18%
xwOBA
0.209 0.237 0.268 0.299 0.327
wOBA
0.221 0.261 0.306 0.351 0.392
ISO
0.050 0.093 0.140 0.187 0.229
K%
14.8% 20.2% 26.2% 32.2% 37.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Arm Runs0.2 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs1.1 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · LF
65
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 36.8% · rebadged research
3
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
70
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline87
8
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

20 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Rodriguez, Emmanuel · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-09-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 32.02026-09-12 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 8.02026-09-12 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 46.02026-09-12 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 111.1 / LA 21.02026-09-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -13.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 30.02026-09-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 17.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA -35.02026-09-20 · field out · FS · popup · EV 83.6 / LA 78.02026-09-20 · field out · FC · popup · EV 57.4 / LA 50.02026-09-20 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 32.02026-09-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -18.02026-09-21 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 30.02026-09-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -59.02026-09-22 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -45.02026-09-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 20.02026-09-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 56.02026-09-23 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 21.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 27.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 17.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Rodriguez, Emmanuel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 33%33%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 67%67%Hard hit: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances200----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2990.136 to 0.274+/- 0.069
ISO0.1570.012 to 0.227+/- 0.107
Barrel%4.9%0.2% to 7.2%+/- 3.5%
Hard-Hit%37.6%13.5% to 47.4%+/- 16.9%
K%24.9%9.0% to 36.4%+/- 13.7%
BB%7.9%1.3% to 10.1%+/- 4.4%
BABIP0.2900.143 to 0.360+/- 0.108
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

2 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.4%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.3%
vs RHP

4 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.4%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.3%