Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Domínguez, Jasson
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYY
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 23
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.306 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.335 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.311 |
| Observed weight | 18% |
xwOBA
0.272
0.291
0.311
0.332
0.350
wOBA
0.445
0.489
0.537
0.586
0.630
ISO
0.110
0.138
0.169
0.200
0.228
K%
18.8%
20.7%
22.9%
25.0%
26.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF · small sample regression applied
58
Regression applied
Range Runs0.2 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · DH
36
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.3% · rebadged research
10
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.4% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions61.3% · rebadged research
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
28
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.311 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
39 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 436 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.278 to 0.365 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.152 | 0.091 to 0.230 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 5.2% | 3.1% to 8.0% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 46.7% | 42.0% to 53.6% | +/- 5.8% |
| K% | 23.3% | 20.8% to 30.3% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 9.2% | 6.6% to 12.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.313 | 0.263 to 0.354 | +/- 0.045 |
vs LHP
139 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.211 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |
vs RHP
421 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.226 |
| K% | 18.6% |
| BB% | 7.3% |
| Barrel | 4.7% |