Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Romo, Drew
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
15
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.218 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.262 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.239 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
xwOBA
0.190
0.213
0.239
0.265
0.289
wOBA
0.218
0.236
0.256
0.277
0.295
ISO
0.069
0.094
0.120
0.147
0.171
K%
19.6%
22.9%
26.7%
30.4%
33.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
42
Exit velocity83.1
8
Hard-hit%26.5%
9
xBA0.256
5
xSLG0.399
12
xwOBA0.262
15
BB%9.6%
64
+49 vs proj
Bat speed67.3
24
K%23.4%
48
+30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.0 · C
24
Catcher Throwing0.8 · C
68
Framing Runs0.4 · C
59
Pop Time1.9 · C
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · C
24
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.3% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
89
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.249 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
82 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| Sample | 209 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 207 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.210 | 0.109 to 0.286 | +/- 0.089 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.021 to 0.211 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.0% | 8.9% to 43.3% | +/- 17.2% |
| K% | 29.4% | 13.0% to 39.7% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 0.6% to 9.7% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.261 | 0.122 to 0.345 | +/- 0.111 |
vs LHP
22 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.027 |
| K% | 6.5% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.2% |
vs RHP
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.029 |
| K% | 5.8% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |