Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / DET · 2026

Jung, Jace

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.286 xwOBA
Range
0.174 to 0.369
Live Δ
--
Team DET Archetype Impact slugger Age 26 Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.393
xwOBA rolling p500.273
Observed weight9%
xwOBA
0.184 0.226 0.273 0.321 0.363
wOBA
0.900 0.927 0.956 0.986 1.000
ISO
0.025 0.056 0.091 0.126 0.158
K%
15.1% 19.3% 23.9% 28.6% 32.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.7% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions75.8% · rebadged research
98
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
51
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
47
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline115
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Jung, Jace · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 33% of plotted batted ballsPull 33%Center field third: 53% of plotted batted ballsCenter 53%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-03-16 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA -19.02026-03-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 55.02026-03-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -13.02026-03-17 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 73.7 / LA 2.02026-03-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 19.02026-03-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 15.02026-03-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 33.02026-03-24 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 45.02026-03-24 · double · FS · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 26.02026-03-24 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA 9.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 23.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 44.02026-05-02 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 14.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.8 / LA 10.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 77.4 / LA 26.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Jung, Jace · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 18%18%Whiff: 11%11%Zone contact: 96%96%Contact: 89%89%Hard hit: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances239----
Home Runs5----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2860.174 to 0.369+/- 0.098
ISO0.1210.029 to 0.175+/- 0.073
Barrel%4.0%0.4% to 5.3%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%35.0%18.2% to 44.0%+/- 12.9%
K%27.7%17.1% to 36.5%+/- 9.7%
BB%9.8%4.9% to 14.6%+/- 4.8%
BABIP0.2900.171 to 0.349+/- 0.089
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

16 career PA

xwOBA0.095
K%10.7%
BB%4.6%
Barrel0.6%
vs RHP

148 career PA

xwOBA0.101
K%10.9%
BB%5.7%
Barrel0.7%