Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / PHI · 2026

Rincones Jr., Gabriel

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.302 xwOBA
Range
0.098 to 0.334
Live Δ
yes
Team PHI Archetype Balanced regular Age 25 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
36
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
36
Defense4 metrics
45
Speed1 metrics
47
Plate skills10 metrics
28
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.205
xwOBA rolling p500.245
Observed weight29%
xwOBA
0.159 0.200 0.245 0.290 0.330
wOBA
0.174 0.201 0.231 0.262 0.289
ISO
0.032 0.067 0.106 0.144 0.179
K%
14.8% 19.6% 25.0% 30.3% 35.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
62 +22 vs proj
Exit velocity90.1
79
Hard-hit%37.7%
47
xBA0.233
2
xSLG0.430
24
xwOBA0.205
2 -49 vs proj
BB%2.2%
2 -48 vs proj
Bat speed74.2
95
K%32.6%
7 -17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · RF
54
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
31
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs-0.0 · RF
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · RF
47
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 52.5% · rebadged research
6
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 36.7% · rebadged research
3
Correct Decisions57.0% · rebadged research
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
27
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
34
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline77
2
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Rincones Jr., Gabriel · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.205 2026-09-12: 0.2052026-09-13: 0.2052026-09-14: 0.2052026-09-18: 0.2052026-09-19: 0.2052026-09-20: 0.2052026-09-21: 0.2052026-09-22: 0.2052026-09-23: 0.2052026-09-24: 0.2052026-09-25: 0.2052026-09-26: 0.205 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

16 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Rincones Jr., Gabriel · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 329 CF 401 RF 330 2026-06-15 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 22.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 53.02026-06-15 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -36.02026-06-15 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 38.02026-06-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA -24.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 31.02026-06-20 · field out · CU · popup · EV 56.6 / LA 62.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 39.02026-06-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 6.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA 6.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.0 / LA 76.02026-06-30 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 4.02026-07-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 8.02026-07-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.1 / LA -4.02026-07-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 42.02026-07-27 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 36.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Rincones Jr., Gabriel · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 47%47%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.097
wOBA Δ-0.071
Sample89 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances201----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3020.098 to 0.334+/- 0.118
ISO0.1350.010 to 0.213+/- 0.102
Barrel%4.2%0.2% to 5.4%+/- 2.6%
Hard-Hit%35.8%8.3% to 43.5%+/- 17.6%
K%27.8%8.0% to 36.1%+/- 14.1%
BB%8.4%0.6% to 10.5%+/- 4.9%
BABIP0.2840.151 to 0.361+/- 0.105
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

0 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.1%
BB%0.2%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

6 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.0%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%