Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Wiemer, Joey
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.315 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
xwOBA
0.257
0.281
0.308
0.334
0.358
wOBA
0.444
0.475
0.508
0.541
0.571
ISO
0.140
0.167
0.198
0.229
0.257
K%
24.8%
27.4%
30.3%
33.2%
35.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.7%
91
+60 vs proj
Barrel%5.9%
61
Bat speed68.0
28
Exit velocity88.6
52
Hard-hit%40.7%
53
K%29.4%
15
xBA0.375
88
xSLG0.601
75
xwOBA0.315
56
+29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
20
Arm Runs0.8 · RF
Limited
Range Runs-0.6 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · RF
17
Sprint Speed28.9 · RF
91
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
50
Mithrandir Stuff+61
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.308 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.370 · insufficient sample
3
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
55 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.223 |
| Sample | 102 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 242 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.285 | 0.225 to 0.363 | +/- 0.069 |
| ISO | 0.138 | 0.091 to 0.255 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 5.2% | 2.6% to 8.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.4% | 30.5% to 50.5% | +/- 10.0% |
| K% | 28.6% | 22.9% to 38.1% | +/- 7.6% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 4.7% to 10.1% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.214 to 0.355 | +/- 0.070 |
vs LHP
184 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.188 |
| K% | 18.3% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 3.5% |
vs RHP
385 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.175 |
| K% | 18.3% |
| BB% | 4.8% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |