Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Doyle, Brenton
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
36
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.286 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.244 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.264 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.239
0.251
0.264
0.277
0.289
wOBA
0.288
0.306
0.327
0.347
0.365
ISO
0.090
0.105
0.122
0.139
0.154
K%
26.3%
27.7%
29.3%
30.9%
32.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
46
-16 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
44
Hard-hit%34.5%
32
-36 vs proj
xBA0.318
52
xSLG0.468
38
xwOBA0.244
7
-19 vs proj
BB%5.8%
21
Bat speed69.9
54
K%30.8%
14
-16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · CF
34
Arm Strength98.9 · CF
86
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Range Runs-0.3 · CF
42
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · CF
37
Bolts12.0 · CF
66
SB Success Rate76.5% · CF
37
Sprint Speed29.2 · CF
92
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.0% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions64.2% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.251 · borderline
98
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.299 · validated
97
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
130 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.037 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| Sample | 240 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 546 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 16 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.281 | 0.257 to 0.326 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.130 | 0.094 to 0.215 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 4.3% to 8.2% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.1% | 37.0% to 49.6% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 26.3% | 22.9% to 32.4% | +/- 4.8% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 4.5% to 9.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.246 to 0.334 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
459 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 21.3% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |
vs RHP
1196 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.253 |
| K% | 24.3% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |