Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Millas, Drew
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status IL-10
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
11
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.266 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.245
0.264
0.286
0.307
0.327
wOBA
0.245
0.267
0.291
0.315
0.336
ISO
0.057
0.079
0.102
0.126
0.147
K%
17.6%
19.7%
22.0%
24.3%
26.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
11
Exit velocity81.5
4
Hard-hit%21.8%
4
xBA0.286
18
xSLG0.397
13
xwOBA0.266
14
-19 vs proj
BB%9.2%
57
+23 vs proj
Bat speed65.4
8
K%24.5%
39
-32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.0 · C
15
Catcher Throwing-0.9 · C
26
Framing Runs4.4 · C
95
Pop Time1.9 · C
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · C
55
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7% · rebadged research
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.6% · rebadged research
12
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
45
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
43
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
79 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.001 |
| Sample | 163 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.210 to 0.337 | +/- 0.063 |
| ISO | 0.116 | 0.058 to 0.209 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 2.5% | 0.5% to 5.6% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.7% | 19.2% to 40.2% | +/- 10.5% |
| K% | 18.6% | 12.1% to 26.2% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 3.1% to 9.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.229 to 0.367 | +/- 0.069 |
vs LHP
42 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.107 |
| K% | 7.4% |
| BB% | 3.1% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
118 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.108 |
| K% | 6.4% |
| BB% | 2.6% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |