Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Millas, Drew
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.269 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.266
0.290
0.314
0.335
wOBA
0.237
0.263
0.291
0.320
0.346
ISO
0.061
0.086
0.112
0.139
0.163
K%
16.1%
18.4%
21.0%
23.6%
25.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.8%
39
Barrel%2.6%
20
Bat speed64.9
7
Exit velocity79.5
1
Hard-hit%19.7%
3
K%22.6%
46
-23 vs proj
xBA0.292
24
xSLG0.414
18
xwOBA0.269
15
-18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.3 · C
10
Catcher Throwing-1.1 · C
10
Framing Runs1.9 · C
78
Pop Time1.9 · C
68
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · C
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.0% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 32.4% · rebadged research
8
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
73 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.000 |
| Sample | 115 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.210 to 0.337 | +/- 0.063 |
| ISO | 0.116 | 0.058 to 0.209 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 2.5% | 0.5% to 5.6% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.7% | 19.2% to 40.2% | +/- 10.5% |
| K% | 18.6% | 12.1% to 26.2% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 3.1% to 9.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.229 to 0.367 | +/- 0.069 |
vs LHP
42 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.107 |
| K% | 7.4% |
| BB% | 3.1% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
118 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.108 |
| K% | 6.4% |
| BB% | 2.6% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |