Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Koss, Christian
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
14
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
24
Exit velocity80.5
3
Hard-hit%27.4%
10
xBA0.296
25
xSLG0.400
13
xwOBA0.243
6
BB%4.3%
10
Bat speed65.6
10
K%25.2%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.9 · SS
30
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs1.2 · SS
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · SS
32
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
93
Sprint Speed28.9 · SS
88
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.7% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.8% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions61.7% · rebadged research
14
Mithrandir Stuff+88
7
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
76
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
9
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
111 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 230 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 303 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.205 to 0.341 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.063 to 0.220 | +/- 0.079 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 1.8% to 6.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.5% | 21.9% to 44.2% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 21.9% | 16.3% to 27.8% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 3.0% to 8.4% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.307 | 0.248 to 0.362 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
56 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.145 |
| K% | 11.7% |
| BB% | 2.6% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
176 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.142 |
| K% | 10.7% |
| BB% | 2.4% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |