Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Koss, Christian
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
42
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.158 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 13% |
xwOBA
0.214
0.243
0.274
0.306
0.335
wOBA
0.377
0.430
0.490
0.550
0.603
ISO
0.050
0.083
0.119
0.156
0.189
K%
17.0%
19.4%
22.1%
24.8%
27.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
59
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.8% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
79
Mithrandir Stuff+79
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
66
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
77
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline87
8
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
23 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 303 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.205 to 0.341 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.063 to 0.220 | +/- 0.079 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 1.8% to 6.8% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.5% | 21.9% to 44.2% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 21.9% | 16.3% to 27.8% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 3.0% to 8.4% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.307 | 0.248 to 0.362 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
56 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.145 |
| K% | 11.7% |
| BB% | 2.6% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
176 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.142 |
| K% | 10.7% |
| BB% | 2.4% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |