Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026
Freeman, Cody
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TEX
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.184 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.309 |
| Observed weight | 6% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.283
0.309
0.336
0.360
wOBA
0.149
0.224
0.307
0.390
0.465
ISO
0.087
0.119
0.154
0.189
0.220
K%
11.2%
14.5%
18.2%
21.9%
25.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
57
Regression applied
Range Runs0.3 · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
7
Correct Decisions61.5% · rebadged research
13
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
101 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 262 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.318 | 0.235 to 0.341 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.080 to 0.222 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 3.7% | 1.1% to 5.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.7% | 22.4% to 41.0% | +/- 9.3% |
| K% | 16.1% | 11.1% to 25.9% | +/- 7.4% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 1.4% to 9.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.300 | 0.244 to 0.339 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
52 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 5.0% |
| BB% | 1.5% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |
vs RHP
77 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.094 |
| K% | 5.3% |
| BB% | 1.5% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |