Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026

Callihan, Tyler

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.272 xwOBA
Range
0.116 to 0.329
Live Δ
yes
Team PIT Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 26 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
27
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
28
Defense3 metrics
40
Speed1 metrics
65
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.256
xwOBA current pace0.252
xwOBA rolling p500.255
Observed weight35%
xwOBA
0.183 0.217 0.255 0.293 0.327
wOBA
0.274 0.300 0.329 0.359 0.385
ISO
0.070 0.102 0.137 0.172 0.204
K%
19.9% 24.5% 29.6% 34.7% 39.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
41
Exit velocity83.9
11
Hard-hit%28.1%
12
xBA0.308
38
xSLG0.494
49
xwOBA0.252
10
BB%8.5%
52 +20 vs proj
Bat speed68.7
37
K%35.9%
3 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
35
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs-1.6 · RF
34
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
65
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 48.1% · rebadged research
3
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.1% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions61.6% · rebadged research
14
Mithrandir Stuff+72
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
71
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Callihan, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.252 2026-09-12: 0.2522026-09-13: 0.2522026-09-14: 0.2522026-09-18: 0.2522026-09-19: 0.2522026-09-20: 0.2522026-09-21: 0.2522026-09-22: 0.2522026-09-23: 0.2522026-09-24: 0.2522026-09-25: 0.2522026-09-26: 0.252 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Callihan, Tyler · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 56% of plotted batted ballsCenter 56%Right field third: 33% of plotted batted ballsOppo 33% LF 325 CF 399 RF 320 2026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -26.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 5.02026-03-18 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 30.02026-03-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -38.02026-03-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA -22.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 46.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 45.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 26.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA -32.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 59.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 43.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 74.9 / LA 28.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 66.02026-06-24 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 38.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.0 / LA 68.02026-06-24 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 10.02026-07-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -3.02026-07-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 69.8 / LA 15.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Callihan, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 32%32%Zone contact: 76%76%Contact: 68%68%Hard hit: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.020
wOBA Δ+0.057
Sample117 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances203----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2720.116 to 0.329+/- 0.107
ISO0.1210.001 to 0.200+/- 0.099
Barrel%3.3%0.2% to 5.0%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%32.5%9.2% to 40.5%+/- 15.6%
K%26.8%8.3% to 37.4%+/- 14.6%
BB%6.9%1.1% to 9.1%+/- 4.0%
BABIP0.2900.150 to 0.374+/- 0.112
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

0 career PA

xwOBA0.005
K%0.8%
BB%0.2%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

8 career PA

xwOBA0.006
K%0.7%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%