Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / AZ · 2026
Locklear, Tyler
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team AZ
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.269 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.334 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.279 |
| Observed weight | 16% |
xwOBA
0.228
0.253
0.279
0.306
0.330
wOBA
0.255
0.299
0.349
0.398
0.443
ISO
0.073
0.111
0.154
0.196
0.234
K%
20.7%
24.5%
28.6%
32.8%
36.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
14
Range Runs-2.5 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · 1B
22
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.2% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions72.5% · rebadged research
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
55
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 263 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.308 | 0.178 to 0.294 | +/- 0.058 |
| ISO | 0.176 | 0.045 to 0.236 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 6.6% | 1.1% to 7.0% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.6% | 23.8% to 47.0% | +/- 11.6% |
| K% | 33.6% | 21.7% to 40.3% | +/- 9.3% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 2.9% to 10.9% | +/- 4.0% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.151 to 0.358 | +/- 0.103 |
vs LHP
57 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.101 |
| K% | 15.2% |
| BB% | 3.6% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
118 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.098 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |