Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.237 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.256 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.241 |
| Observed weight | 22% |
xwOBA
0.172
0.205
0.241
0.278
0.310
wOBA
0.192
0.226
0.264
0.302
0.337
ISO
0.015
0.055
0.100
0.145
0.186
K%
12.3%
16.9%
22.0%
27.2%
31.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.6%
23
Barrel%1.6%
9
Bat speed67.2
22
Exit velocity84.0
9
Hard-hit%33.3%
24
K%32.8%
5
-68 vs proj
xBA0.308
34
xSLG0.430
24
xwOBA0.256
10
-20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 2B
16
Range Runs-1.4 · 2B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · 2B
28
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.6% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.8% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
62
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
44
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
36 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| Sample | 61 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 205 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.094 to 0.266 | +/- 0.086 |
| ISO | 0.129 | 0.018 to 0.235 | +/- 0.108 |
| Barrel% | 2.8% | 0.2% to 6.1% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.6% | 9.8% to 42.5% | +/- 16.3% |
| K% | 18.3% | 6.6% to 31.2% | +/- 12.3% |
| BB% | 6.5% | 1.3% to 9.1% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.300 | 0.155 to 0.366 | +/- 0.106 |
vs LHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |
vs RHP
8 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |