Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
Rodríguez, Endy
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team PIT
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.269 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.363 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 15% |
xwOBA
0.228
0.254
0.283
0.312
0.338
wOBA
0.296
0.343
0.396
0.449
0.496
ISO
0.065
0.093
0.125
0.156
0.184
K%
16.9%
20.4%
24.3%
28.1%
31.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.1 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · C
Limited
Framing Runs-1.6 · C
Limited
Pop Time1.8 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.5% · rebadged research
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.5% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions71.3% · rebadged research
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
46
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample
17
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
97
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
13 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.215 to 0.339 | +/- 0.062 |
| ISO | 0.139 | 0.082 to 0.221 | +/- 0.070 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 0.9% to 6.4% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.7% | 28.0% to 49.8% | +/- 10.9% |
| K% | 27.3% | 17.5% to 34.5% | +/- 8.5% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 4.9% to 11.7% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.221 to 0.354 | +/- 0.066 |
vs LHP
75 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.124 |
| K% | 11.4% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |
vs RHP
209 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.123 |
| K% | 10.9% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |