Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026
Rodríguez, Endy
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team PIT
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.269 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.338 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.257
0.276
0.298
0.320
0.339
wOBA
0.322
0.345
0.371
0.397
0.420
ISO
0.121
0.142
0.165
0.188
0.208
K%
19.7%
22.2%
25.0%
27.7%
30.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
71
+40 vs proj
Exit velocity91.8
92
Hard-hit%46.8%
87
+44 vs proj
xBA0.352
84
xSLG0.579
75
xwOBA0.338
84
+50 vs proj
BB%14.4%
97
+40 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
71
K%26.2%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.7 · C
32
Catcher Throwing-1.1 · C
24
Framing Runs1.0 · C
62
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
68
Pop Time1.9 · C
85
Range Runs0.4 · C
87
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
93
Sprint Speed27.0 · C
38
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.0% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions70.0% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
30
Resists FastballwOBA 0.366 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
41 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.048 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.081 |
| Sample | 160 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.215 to 0.339 | +/- 0.062 |
| ISO | 0.139 | 0.082 to 0.221 | +/- 0.070 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 0.9% to 6.4% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.7% | 28.0% to 49.8% | +/- 10.9% |
| K% | 27.3% | 17.5% to 34.5% | +/- 8.5% |
| BB% | 9.0% | 4.9% to 11.7% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.221 to 0.354 | +/- 0.066 |
vs LHP
75 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.124 |
| K% | 11.4% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |
vs RHP
209 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.123 |
| K% | 10.9% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |