Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TOR
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.326 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.282 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
xwOBA
0.208
0.243
0.282
0.321
0.356
wOBA
0.308
0.339
0.373
0.407
0.437
ISO
0.053
0.086
0.124
0.161
0.195
K%
12.9%
18.1%
23.8%
29.5%
34.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.5%
23
-22 vs proj
Barrel%6.5%
69
+29 vs proj
Bat speed73.6
92
Exit velocity90.7
81
Hard-hit%41.8%
59
+25 vs proj
K%20.7%
59
+34 vs proj
xBA0.372
87
xSLG0.540
59
xwOBA0.326
65
+28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.1 · LF
3
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
20
Arm Runs-0.3 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-1.1 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · LF
39
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.1% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
54
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
67
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.386 · insufficient sample
0
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
65 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.076 |
| Sample | 92 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.297 | 0.119 to 0.322 | +/- 0.101 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.021 to 0.218 | +/- 0.099 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 0.2% to 5.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.3% | 10.7% to 40.2% | +/- 14.7% |
| K% | 27.3% | 8.1% to 38.5% | +/- 15.2% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 0.7% to 9.0% | +/- 4.2% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.180 to 0.361 | +/- 0.091 |
vs LHP
0 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.5% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |