Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team SF
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.261 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.104 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.250 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
xwOBA
0.149
0.197
0.250
0.303
0.351
wOBA
0.963
0.976
0.992
1.000
1.000
ISO
0.016
0.059
0.108
0.156
0.200
K%
10.6%
16.5%
23.0%
29.5%
35.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · RF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF · small sample regression applied
61
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.3 · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.3% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.0% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
59
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
11 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.117 to 0.334 | +/- 0.108 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.018 to 0.215 | +/- 0.098 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 0.2% to 5.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.9% | 7.7% to 38.7% | +/- 15.5% |
| K% | 25.9% | 7.5% to 34.0% | +/- 13.3% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 0.9% to 10.6% | +/- 4.9% |
| BABIP | 0.294 | 0.135 to 0.354 | +/- 0.109 |
vs LHP
5 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
8 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |