Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Acuña, Luisangel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.258 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.251
0.268
0.286
0.305
0.321
wOBA
0.188
0.210
0.235
0.260
0.282
ISO
0.044
0.066
0.090
0.115
0.137
K%
14.0%
15.8%
17.8%
19.8%
21.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.3%
15
Barrel%2.3%
17
Bat speed66.2
14
Exit velocity87.9
42
Hard-hit%37.4%
39
K%17.4%
77
xBA0.290
23
xSLG0.361
7
xwOBA0.258
11
-27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · CF
74
Arm Strength94.6 · CF
70
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
45
Range Runs-1.4 · CF
27
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.8 · CF
92
Bolts20.0 · CF
89
SB Success Rate87.5% · CF
74
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
96
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.8% · rebadged research
37
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
76
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.250 · borderline
98
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334 · validated
91
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
95 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.039 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.062 |
| Sample | 132 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 315 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.234 to 0.330 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.037 to 0.184 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.4% to 5.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 27.7% to 44.9% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 16.8% | 14.0% to 25.0% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 2.9% to 9.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.229 to 0.336 | +/- 0.053 |
vs LHP
93 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.149 |
| K% | 9.3% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
173 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.144 |
| K% | 9.0% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |