Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Acuña, Luisangel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.268 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.269
0.285
0.300
0.315
wOBA
0.236
0.253
0.273
0.292
0.310
ISO
0.053
0.071
0.090
0.109
0.127
K%
15.2%
16.7%
18.4%
20.0%
21.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.9%
22
Exit velocity87.0
41
Hard-hit%36.8%
43
xBA0.311
40
xSLG0.408
15
xwOBA0.268
18
-25 vs proj
BB%4.1%
9
-17 vs proj
Bat speed67.8
28
K%18.7%
74
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · SS
95
Arm Strength94.6 · SS
95
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs-0.8 · SS
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · SS
62
Bolts43.0 · SS
90
SB Success Rate76.2% · SS
37
Sprint Speed29.8 · SS
98
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.3% · rebadged research
33
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
35
Mithrandir Stuff+72
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.262 · borderline
92
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
44
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
135 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.028 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| Sample | 241 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 315 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.234 to 0.330 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.037 to 0.184 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.4% to 5.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 27.7% to 44.9% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 16.8% | 14.0% to 25.0% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 2.9% to 9.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.229 to 0.336 | +/- 0.053 |
vs LHP
93 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.149 |
| K% | 9.3% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
173 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.144 |
| K% | 9.0% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |