Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Ramírez, Agustín
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.344 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.282 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
xwOBA
0.293
0.305
0.320
0.334
0.347
wOBA
0.285
0.309
0.336
0.363
0.387
ISO
0.123
0.140
0.159
0.178
0.195
K%
16.6%
18.0%
19.6%
21.1%
22.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%10.6%
71
+51 vs proj
Barrel%3.5%
28
-43 vs proj
Bat speed74.2
96
Exit velocity89.6
64
Hard-hit%40.4%
51
-20 vs proj
K%21.3%
55
-24 vs proj
xBA0.299
28
xSLG0.415
19
xwOBA0.282
25
-45 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.4 · C
5
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
31
Framing Runs-1.3 · C
26
Pop Time2.0 · C
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
50
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.6% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
10
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.303 · validated
97
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
94 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| Sample | 141 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 494 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.334 | 0.320 to 0.383 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.151 to 0.259 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% | 6.7% | 5.7% to 10.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.9% | 41.1% to 53.2% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 17.2% | 17.1% to 24.8% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 5.7% to 10.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.259 to 0.326 | +/- 0.034 |
vs LHP
167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.245 |
| K% | 15.3% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 6.1% |
vs RHP
420 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.238 |
| K% | 12.8% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 6.0% |