Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Ramírez, Agustín
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.344 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.287 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.313 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.300
0.313
0.326
0.337
wOBA
0.298
0.315
0.335
0.355
0.372
ISO
0.124
0.138
0.153
0.168
0.182
K%
18.6%
19.8%
21.1%
22.5%
23.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.1%
24
-53 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
82
Hard-hit%41.7%
67
xBA0.311
40
xSLG0.441
28
xwOBA0.287
32
-49 vs proj
BB%10.7%
77
+52 vs proj
Bat speed74.3
96
K%23.4%
48
-33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.5 · C
10
Catcher Throwing-0.6 · C
35
Framing Runs-2.7 · C
23
Pop Time2.0 · C
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · DH
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.3% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.327 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
44
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
37
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
59
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
74
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
149 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| Sample | 261 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 494 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.334 | 0.320 to 0.383 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.151 to 0.259 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% | 6.7% | 5.7% to 10.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.9% | 41.1% to 53.2% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 17.2% | 17.1% to 24.8% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 5.7% to 10.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.259 to 0.326 | +/- 0.034 |
vs LHP
167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.245 |
| K% | 15.3% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 6.1% |
vs RHP
420 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.238 |
| K% | 12.8% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 6.0% |