Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026

Eaton, Nate

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.259 xwOBA
Range
0.172 to 0.318
Live Δ
yes
Team BOS Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 30 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
21
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
34
Defense2 metrics
67
Speed2 metrics
75
Plate skills10 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.246
xwOBA current pace0.285
xwOBA rolling p500.256
Observed weight25%
xwOBA
0.199 0.226 0.256 0.286 0.313
wOBA
0.220 0.252 0.288 0.323 0.355
ISO
0.044 0.068 0.095 0.122 0.146
K%
19.3% 22.2% 25.5% 28.8% 31.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
20
Exit velocity86.3
32
Hard-hit%31.0%
20
xBA0.255
5
xSLG0.421
20
xwOBA0.285
29 +16 vs proj
BB%12.2%
88 +57 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%28.4%
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength98.6 · CF
85
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Arm Runs1.6 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs0.8 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts7.0 · LF
54
Sprint Speed29.5 · LF
95
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.9% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.9% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
59
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Eaton, Nate · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.285 2026-09-12: 0.2832026-09-13: 0.2832026-09-14: 0.2702026-09-18: 0.2732026-09-19: 0.2832026-09-20: 0.2832026-09-21: 0.2902026-09-22: 0.2902026-09-23: 0.2852026-09-24: 0.2852026-09-25: 0.2852026-09-26: 0.285 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

28 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Eaton, Nate · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 36.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 38.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 40.02026-03-17 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 68.0 / LA 27.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 16.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 41.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.9 / LA 66.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -42.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.6 / LA 55.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.1 / LA 67.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 35.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 41.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 17.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 24.02026-07-01 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -1.02026-07-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -12.02026-09-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 7.02026-09-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA -38.02026-09-09 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 24.02026-09-09 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 46.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.5 / LA 74.02026-09-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 13.02026-09-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 55.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 33.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 41.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 1.02026-09-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 66.4 / LA 54.02026-09-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.0 / LA 16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Eaton, Nate · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 77%77%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.026
wOBA Δ+0.029
Sample74 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances251----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2590.172 to 0.318+/- 0.073
ISO0.0960.056 to 0.190+/- 0.067
Barrel%3.1%0.7% to 6.2%+/- 2.8%
Hard-Hit%32.1%19.2% to 45.8%+/- 13.3%
K%26.8%17.7% to 33.7%+/- 8.0%
BB%6.9%2.4% to 9.0%+/- 3.3%
BABIP0.3080.233 to 0.375+/- 0.071
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

117 career PA

xwOBA0.101
K%10.7%
BB%2.9%
Barrel1.0%
vs RHP

209 career PA

xwOBA0.096
K%11.8%
BB%2.7%
Barrel1.2%