Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Fry, David
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.280 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.248
0.268
0.290
0.312
0.332
wOBA
0.361
0.389
0.421
0.452
0.481
ISO
0.120
0.147
0.176
0.206
0.233
K%
21.3%
23.3%
25.6%
27.8%
29.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.5%
90
+45 vs proj
Barrel%3.6%
29
-19 vs proj
Bat speed68.3
31
Exit velocity87.1
32
Hard-hit%36.9%
38
K%27.0%
26
xBA0.319
45
xSLG0.434
25
xwOBA0.280
23
-17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Arm Runs-0.3 · RF
Limited
Blocking Runs-0.7 · RF
Limited
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · RF
Limited
Framing Runs-0.1 · RF
Limited
Pop Time1.9 · RF
Limited
Range Runs-0.3 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · DH
22
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions64.9% · rebadged research
37
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
65 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.121 |
| Sample | 111 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 324 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.300 | 0.231 to 0.345 | +/- 0.057 |
| ISO | 0.172 | 0.097 to 0.260 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 2.3% to 8.1% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.8% | 30.3% to 49.0% | +/- 9.3% |
| K% | 26.9% | 19.7% to 31.2% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 5.6% to 11.5% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.204 to 0.339 | +/- 0.067 |
vs LHP
360 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |
vs RHP
386 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.202 |
| K% | 18.0% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |