Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
Gasper, Mickey
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team BOS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.267 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.353 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.265
0.287
0.312
0.336
0.358
wOBA
0.335
0.354
0.375
0.397
0.416
ISO
0.112
0.134
0.158
0.182
0.203
K%
14.8%
16.8%
19.1%
21.4%
23.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
79
+55 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
56
Hard-hit%36.9%
43
+18 vs proj
xBA0.312
43
xSLG0.558
68
xwOBA0.353
93
+39 vs proj
BB%12.0%
87
+35 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
K%17.1%
82
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
57
Catcher Throwing-0.8 · C
33
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
45
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · C
25
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Range Runs-0.7 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · DH
30
SB Success Rate0.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.0% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
38
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
82
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample
18
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.394 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
114 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.068 |
| Sample | 234 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 264 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.307 | 0.176 to 0.348 | +/- 0.086 |
| ISO | 0.114 | 0.035 to 0.208 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 4.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.8% | 18.3% to 42.2% | +/- 12.0% |
| K% | 19.3% | 13.2% to 29.6% | +/- 8.2% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 3.7% to 12.8% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.156 to 0.336 | +/- 0.090 |
vs LHP
42 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.094 |
| K% | 7.7% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |
vs RHP
112 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.090 |
| K% | 7.9% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |