Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / BAL · 2026

Franklin, Christian

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.292 xwOBA
Range
0.094 to 0.331
Live Δ
yes
Team BAL Archetype Impact slugger Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
31
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
39
Defense1 metrics
50
Speed1 metrics
59
Plate skills10 metrics
68
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.261
xwOBA current pace0.291
xwOBA rolling p500.269
Observed weight25%
xwOBA
0.178 0.221 0.269 0.317 0.359
wOBA
0.218 0.251 0.286 0.322 0.355
ISO
0.017 0.054 0.095 0.137 0.174
K%
15.4% 20.1% 25.4% 30.6% 35.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
40
Exit velocity85.4
23
Hard-hit%37.2%
45 +16 vs proj
xBA0.274
12
xSLG0.451
31
xwOBA0.291
36
BB%9.7%
66 +31 vs proj
Bat speed70.9
71
K%26.4%
30
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
50
Arm Runs-0.1 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs0.1 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.8 · LF
59
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.2% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions70.4% · rebadged research
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
80
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Franklin, Christian · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.291 2026-09-12: 0.3062026-09-13: 0.3062026-09-14: 0.3062026-09-18: 0.3062026-09-19: 0.3062026-09-20: 0.3062026-09-21: 0.2892026-09-22: 0.2982026-09-23: 0.2982026-09-24: 0.2922026-09-25: 0.2922026-09-26: 0.291 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

34 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Franklin, Christian · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 3% of plotted batted ballsPull 3%Center field third: 76% of plotted batted ballsCenter 76%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 333 CF 400 RF 318 2026-03-17 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 28.2 / LA -73.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.7 / LA -10.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 52.4 / LA -71.02026-03-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -27.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.6 / LA -25.02026-03-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -24.02026-03-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -10.02026-03-21 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 0.02026-08-04 · fielders choice out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -16.02026-08-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -27.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.5 / LA 63.02026-08-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 15.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 36.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 39.02026-08-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 34.02026-08-11 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -11.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 24.02026-08-16 · field out · SI · popup · EV 56.7 / LA 60.02026-08-17 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 59.5 / LA -47.02026-08-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -11.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -9.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 22.02026-08-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 49.9 / LA -66.02026-08-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -14.02026-09-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 1.02026-09-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -41.02026-09-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 58.8 / LA -38.02026-09-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.7 / LA 1.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · popup · EV 63.7 / LA 52.02026-09-25 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 13.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -16.02026-09-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -28.02026-09-25 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 7.02026-09-25 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 14.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Franklin, Christian · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 24%24%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.000
wOBA Δ-0.005
Sample72 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances201----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2920.094 to 0.331+/- 0.118
ISO0.1460.013 to 0.221+/- 0.104
Barrel%3.9%0.2% to 5.0%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%33.7%7.3% to 41.8%+/- 17.2%
K%27.6%9.2% to 35.6%+/- 13.2%
BB%7.4%0.7% to 10.5%+/- 4.9%
BABIP0.3080.132 to 0.383+/- 0.125
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.9%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

8 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.0%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%