Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026

Helman, Michael

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.303 xwOBA
Range
0.203 to 0.354
Live Δ
--
Team TEX Archetype Balanced regular Age 30 Status IL-10
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
36
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
20
Plate skills10 metrics
37
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-16
xwOBA preseason0.289
xwOBA current pace0.201
xwOBA rolling p500.275
Observed weight16%
xwOBA
0.210 0.241 0.275 0.309 0.339
wOBA
0.229 0.273 0.322 0.371 0.416
ISO
0.100 0.131 0.165 0.199 0.230
K%
10.6% 14.2% 18.2% 22.2% 25.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
20
Arm Runs-0.4 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.5 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · CF
Small sample
Sprint Speed29.7 · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.2% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
41
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
91
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

24 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Helman, Michael · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 62% of plotted batted ballsCenter 62%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 45.02026-03-20 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 81.4 / LA 13.02026-03-21 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -1.02026-03-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 9.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 31.02026-05-18 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 87.8 / LA 12.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 36.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.4 / LA -41.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.7 / LA 75.02026-05-20 · force out · FF · fly_ball · EV 68.4 / LA 42.02026-05-23 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 30.02026-05-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -21.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 32.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.0 / LA -16.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA -3.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 32.6 / LA 36.02026-05-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 10.02026-05-31 · sac bunt · SL · ground_ball · EV 33.9 / LA -61.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA 1.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.1 / LA 69.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 26.02026-06-07 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 31.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 32.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 27.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Helman, Michael · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 45%45%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 10%10% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances258----
Home Runs9----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3030.203 to 0.354+/- 0.075
ISO0.1580.093 to 0.245+/- 0.076
Barrel%4.1%1.3% to 7.2%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%34.1%23.1% to 41.3%+/- 9.1%
K%20.3%12.8% to 30.6%+/- 8.9%
BB%7.1%2.3% to 10.3%+/- 4.0%
BABIP0.2930.217 to 0.351+/- 0.067
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

65 career PA

xwOBA0.082
K%7.3%
BB%2.1%
Barrel2.0%
vs RHP

77 career PA

xwOBA0.080
K%7.3%
BB%2.2%
Barrel1.8%