Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.248 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.273 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.251 |
| Observed weight | 13% |
xwOBA
0.192
0.220
0.251
0.282
0.310
wOBA
0.131
0.175
0.224
0.273
0.317
ISO
0.077
0.114
0.154
0.194
0.231
K%
13.1%
18.6%
24.6%
30.6%
36.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Arm Runs0.4 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs0.7 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · LF
Small sample
Sprint Speed26.6 · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.6% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.0% · rebadged research
91
Correct Decisions61.0% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
67
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
52
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
52
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
6 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.300 | 0.147 to 0.279 | +/- 0.066 |
| ISO | 0.156 | 0.059 to 0.234 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 4.8% | 0.6% to 7.3% | +/- 3.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.7% | 15.4% to 43.3% | +/- 13.9% |
| K% | 23.4% | 8.0% to 34.2% | +/- 13.1% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 2.1% to 10.8% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.300 | 0.199 to 0.360 | +/- 0.080 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |