Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TOR
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.328 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.257
0.293
0.328
0.360
wOBA
0.272
0.298
0.327
0.356
0.382
ISO
0.070
0.098
0.130
0.161
0.190
K%
12.9%
17.5%
22.6%
27.8%
32.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.8%
79
+52 vs proj
Barrel%4.2%
38
Bat speed69.6
49
Exit velocity87.1
33
Hard-hit%38.5%
43
+21 vs proj
K%22.7%
46
+19 vs proj
xBA0.338
64
xSLG0.528
55
xwOBA0.328
67
+31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
33
Catcher Throwing1.7 · C
86
Framing Runs4.9 · C
98
Pop Time1.9 · C
82
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · C
8
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.8% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
16
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290 · validated thin sample
18
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.292 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
13
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
51
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
72 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.034 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.033 |
| Sample | 119 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.123 to 0.323 | +/- 0.100 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.028 to 0.208 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.0% | 12.0% to 37.8% | +/- 12.9% |
| K% | 27.0% | 6.7% to 36.3% | +/- 14.8% |
| BB% | 6.8% | 1.3% to 9.0% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.181 to 0.366 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |