Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
Seigler, Anthony
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team BOS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.276 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.531 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 2% |
xwOBA
0.235
0.257
0.281
0.305
0.327
wOBA
0.167
0.319
0.487
0.656
0.808
ISO
0.044
0.081
0.122
0.163
0.201
K%
12.5%
17.0%
21.8%
26.7%
31.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
52
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions61.1% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
51
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
50 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.210 to 0.303 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.111 | 0.037 to 0.197 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 3.0% | 0.4% to 4.9% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 21.4% to 43.4% | +/- 11.0% |
| K% | 23.1% | 12.1% to 31.0% | +/- 9.5% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 3.2% to 10.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.248 to 0.351 | +/- 0.051 |
vs LHP
6 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.066 |
| K% | 5.5% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |
vs RHP
71 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.073 |
| K% | 5.0% |
| BB% | 2.7% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |