Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / BAL · 2026
Hinds, Rece
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team BAL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.266 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.184 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.244 |
| Observed weight | 27% |
xwOBA
0.163
0.201
0.244
0.286
0.325
wOBA
0.255
0.286
0.321
0.356
0.387
ISO
0.089
0.125
0.165
0.206
0.242
K%
24.6%
28.4%
32.6%
36.8%
40.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
17
-53 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
67
Hard-hit%42.1%
69
xBA0.282
15
xSLG0.367
6
xwOBA0.184
1
-42 vs proj
BB%7.4%
36
Bat speed71.0
72
K%42.0%
1
-20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength94.5 · RF
57
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.8 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.8 · RF
86
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.3% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions61.2% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
24
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
33 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.112 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.025 |
| Sample | 81 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 228 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.142 to 0.360 | +/- 0.109 |
| ISO | 0.172 | 0.057 to 0.262 | +/- 0.103 |
| Barrel% | 6.2% | 1.4% to 8.0% | +/- 3.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.3% | 19.8% to 50.3% | +/- 15.2% |
| K% | 28.8% | 16.4% to 37.6% | +/- 10.6% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 1.7% to 10.7% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.273 | 0.141 to 0.329 | +/- 0.094 |
vs LHP
40 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.081 |
| K% | 10.9% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |
vs RHP
63 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.089 |
| K% | 9.8% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |