Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Hinds, Rece
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.270 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.161 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.251 |
| Observed weight | 17% |
xwOBA
0.159
0.203
0.251
0.300
0.343
wOBA
0.323
0.367
0.416
0.465
0.509
ISO
0.092
0.134
0.180
0.226
0.267
K%
22.7%
26.9%
31.6%
36.3%
40.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Limited
Range Runs0.5 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.3 · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.5% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.2% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions60.1% · rebadged research
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
86
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
23 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 228 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.144 to 0.366 | +/- 0.111 |
| ISO | 0.174 | 0.058 to 0.266 | +/- 0.104 |
| Barrel% | 6.2% | 1.4% to 8.0% | +/- 3.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.3% | 19.8% to 50.3% | +/- 15.2% |
| K% | 28.8% | 16.4% to 37.6% | +/- 10.6% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 1.7% to 10.7% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.270 | 0.139 to 0.325 | +/- 0.093 |
vs LHP
40 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.081 |
| K% | 10.9% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |
vs RHP
63 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.089 |
| K% | 9.8% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |