Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment
Protected takes / Chase risk
Alexander, Blaze
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.275 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Blaze Alexander's tools (86) outpace production (84) by 3 points. Primary finding: expanding the zone too aggressively — generating weak contact and whiffs on pitcher's pitches. Also flagged: Contact-Discipline Mismatch.
Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
97 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
| Sample | 150 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 354 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.243 to 0.351 | +/- 0.054 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.089 to 0.222 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 2.3% to 7.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.6% | 32.5% to 47.8% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 27.2% | 21.6% to 32.9% | +/- 5.6% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.6% to 11.5% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.320 | 0.230 to 0.367 | +/- 0.068 |
181 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.203 |
| K% | 17.8% |
| BB% | 6.6% |
| Barrel | 4.5% |
297 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.178 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |