Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Wagaman, Eric
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.671 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 6% |
xwOBA
0.298
0.314
0.332
0.350
0.367
wOBA
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
ISO
0.119
0.147
0.178
0.209
0.237
K%
15.6%
17.3%
19.2%
21.0%
22.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
53
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions64.7% · rebadged research
36
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
51
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
53
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 477 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.277 to 0.348 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.151 | 0.093 to 0.216 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 3.1% to 7.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.2% | 39.0% to 51.7% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 18.9% | 17.3% to 24.7% | +/- 3.7% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 4.1% to 8.8% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.261 to 0.324 | +/- 0.032 |
vs LHP
214 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.238 |
| K% | 14.3% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 4.3% |
vs RHP
414 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.217 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |