Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / TB · 2026

Feduccia, Hunter

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.313 xwOBA
Range
0.186 to 0.326
Live Δ
yes
Team TB Archetype Balanced regular Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
52
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
44
Defense4 metrics
28
Speed1 metrics
48
Plate skills10 metrics
65
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.269
xwOBA current pace0.306
xwOBA rolling p500.284
Observed weight41%
xwOBA
0.238 0.260 0.284 0.308 0.330
wOBA
0.258 0.281 0.306 0.331 0.354
ISO
0.040 0.068 0.100 0.131 0.160
K%
18.5% 21.5% 24.7% 28.0% 31.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
43
Exit velocity87.3
39
Hard-hit%36.4%
37
xBA0.346
75
xSLG0.559
66
xwOBA0.306
49
BB%9.2%
57
Bat speed67.6
25
K%32.2%
8 -31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.8 · C
16
Catcher Throwing-2.0 · C
9
Framing Runs2.6 · C
76
Pop Time2.0 · C
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
48
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.8% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions70.7% · rebadged research
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
63
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
93
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.362 · insufficient sample
7
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Feduccia, Hunter · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.306 2026-07-05: 0.3092026-07-06: 0.3112026-07-07: 0.3112026-07-08: 0.3112026-07-09: 0.3202026-07-10: 0.3202026-07-11: 0.3202026-07-12: 0.3132026-07-13: 0.3132026-07-14: 0.3082026-07-15: 0.3082026-07-16: 0.306 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

55 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Feduccia, Hunter · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 62% of plotted batted ballsCenter 62%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-17 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -7.02026-03-20 · field out · FC · popup · EV 76.9 / LA 79.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 5.02026-03-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -25.02026-03-29 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 11.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 51.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.0 / LA 20.02026-04-05 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 21.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 46.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 76.7 / LA 38.02026-04-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.6 / LA 14.02026-04-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -33.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 44.02026-04-19 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.2 / LA -46.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 3.02026-04-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -17.02026-04-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 45.1 / LA -51.02026-04-29 · field out · pitch · ground_ball2026-05-02 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 35.0 / LA -5.02026-05-02 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 10.02026-05-03 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 66.7 / LA 35.02026-05-05 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 0.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.2 / LA 62.02026-05-05 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA -9.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 50.02026-05-07 · sac bunt · CU · ground_ball · EV 31.3 / LA -29.02026-05-11 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 11.02026-05-11 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 23.02026-05-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 46.02026-05-15 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 42.02026-05-15 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 35.2 / LA -11.02026-05-15 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 31.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 23.02026-05-18 · single · EP · line_drive · EV 80.3 / LA 15.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 44.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 21.02026-05-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 42.2 / LA -43.02026-05-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 23.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 52.02026-05-25 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 37.02026-05-26 · field out · KC · popup · EV 87.3 / LA 71.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 47.02026-05-27 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 7.02026-05-27 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 10.02026-05-27 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 14.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 47.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 14.02026-06-07 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 12.02026-06-26 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 28.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 48.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 35.02026-07-01 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 10.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Feduccia, Hunter · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.007
wOBA Δ-0.008
Sample152 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances254----
Home Runs5----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3130.186 to 0.326+/- 0.070
ISO0.1330.009 to 0.207+/- 0.099
Barrel%4.0%1.2% to 5.7%+/- 2.2%
Hard-Hit%35.0%18.2% to 39.4%+/- 10.6%
K%24.5%14.6% to 34.6%+/- 10.0%
BB%10.4%4.6% to 14.3%+/- 4.9%
BABIP0.2810.174 to 0.337+/- 0.081
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

28 career PA

xwOBA0.078
K%10.6%
BB%3.9%
Barrel1.0%
vs RHP

108 career PA

xwOBA0.091
K%8.5%
BB%5.7%
Barrel1.5%