Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026

None

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.244 xwOBA
Range
0.136 to 0.350
Live Δ
yes
Team ATH Archetype Impact slugger Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
13
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
18
Defense1 metrics
42
Speed1 metrics
57
Plate skills9 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-16
xwOBA preseason0.250
xwOBA current pace0.227
xwOBA rolling p500.246
Observed weight20%
xwOBA
0.158 0.200 0.246 0.291 0.333
wOBA
0.334 0.375 0.420 0.464 0.505
ISO
0.058 0.087 0.118 0.150 0.178
K%
17.7% 21.5% 25.7% 29.9% 33.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.0%
1 -22 vs proj
Exit velocity86.0
26
Hard-hit%35.1%
29 +18 vs proj
xBA0.276
12
xSLG0.357
5
xwOBA0.227
3
BB%7.3%
32
Bat speed66.3
15
K%23.6%
40
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
42
Arm Runs0.8 · SS
Small sample
Range Runs-0.4 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · SS
57
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.1% · rebadged research
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.0% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions61.7% · rebadged research
14
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
51
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

2 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Williams, Alika · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.227 2026-06-15: 0.1912026-06-16: 0.227 2026-06-15 2026-06-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

16 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Williams, Alika · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 56% of plotted batted ballsCenter 56%Right field third: 31% of plotted batted ballsOppo 31% LF 325 CF 403 RF 325 2026-03-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -7.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 87.7 / LA 22.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 77.1 / LA 23.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 38.02026-03-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -6.02026-03-21 · sac fly · FS · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 33.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.1 / LA 67.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 25.02026-05-24 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -10.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.9 / LA 48.02026-05-24 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -10.02026-06-04 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA 2.02026-06-04 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA -21.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 47.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -4.02026-06-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 0.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Williams, Alika · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.017
wOBA Δ+0.175
Sample55 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances216----
Home Runs4----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2440.136 to 0.350+/- 0.107
ISO0.1170.049 to 0.195+/- 0.073
Barrel%3.2%0.7% to 6.2%+/- 2.8%
Hard-Hit%29.5%16.9% to 42.5%+/- 12.8%
K%23.6%16.3% to 35.8%+/- 9.8%
BB%6.5%3.0% to 9.9%+/- 3.5%
BABIP0.3060.200 to 0.359+/- 0.080
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

79 career PA

xwOBA0.102
K%10.3%
BB%3.1%
Barrel1.2%
vs RHP

160 career PA

xwOBA0.093
K%10.5%
BB%2.6%
Barrel1.0%