Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / PHI · 2026
Berroa, Steward
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team PHI
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.271 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.370 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 2% |
xwOBA
0.202
0.236
0.273
0.311
0.344
wOBA
0.000
0.084
0.225
0.366
0.493
ISO
0.048
0.084
0.124
0.164
0.200
K%
15.1%
21.1%
27.7%
34.3%
40.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · CF
Limited
Range Runs0.0 · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 0.0% · rebadged research
0
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 100.0% · rebadged research
0
Correct Decisions0.0% · rebadged research
0
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline-11
0
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
13 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 214 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.261 | 0.172 to 0.316 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.039 to 0.193 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 27.5% | 14.3% to 39.3% | +/- 12.5% |
| K% | 23.5% | 12.9% to 38.4% | +/- 12.8% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 3.2% to 12.8% | +/- 4.8% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.163 to 0.338 | +/- 0.088 |
vs LHP
23 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.046 |
| K% | 5.8% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |
vs RHP
60 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.044 |
| K% | 6.1% |
| BB% | 2.7% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |