Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Alfonzo, Eliezer

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.285 xwOBA
Range
0.108 to 0.317
Live Δ
--
Team LAD Archetype Balanced regular Age 27 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
33
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
5
Speed1 metrics
19
Plate skills8 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.258
xwOBA current pace0.215
xwOBA rolling p500.251
Observed weight16%
xwOBA
0.162 0.204 0.251 0.297 0.339
wOBA
0.216 0.259 0.307 0.355 0.398
ISO
0.027 0.068 0.113 0.158 0.199
K%
7.9% 13.6% 20.0% 26.4% 32.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Defense · percentile strip
Pop Time2.0 · C
5
Blocking Runs-0.9 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs0.9 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · C
19
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.9% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
63
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
14
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Alfonzo, Eliezer · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 6% of plotted batted ballsPull 6%Center field third: 89% of plotted batted ballsCenter 89%Right field third: 6% of plotted batted ballsOppo 6% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -29.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -34.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -27.02026-03-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 20.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 5.02026-03-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -43.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 47.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 17.02026-03-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 7.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 43.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 25.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -8.02026-07-31 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 1.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 40.3 / LA -46.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 19.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.2 / LA -25.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 79.8 / LA 35.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -35.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Alfonzo, Eliezer · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 14%14%Zone contact: 95%95%Contact: 86%86%Hard hit: 29%29% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances200----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2850.108 to 0.317+/- 0.104
ISO0.1390.021 to 0.225+/- 0.102
Barrel%3.7%0.2% to 6.0%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%33.3%5.9% to 37.8%+/- 16.0%
K%24.7%6.4% to 35.1%+/- 14.4%
BB%8.7%0.6% to 9.5%+/- 4.4%
BABIP0.2860.136 to 0.359+/- 0.112
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

2 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%