Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Valera, George
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.198 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.279 |
| Observed weight | 15% |
xwOBA
0.229
0.253
0.279
0.305
0.329
wOBA
0.168
0.211
0.259
0.307
0.350
ISO
0.083
0.114
0.148
0.182
0.213
K%
15.5%
19.4%
23.7%
28.0%
31.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
20
Arm Runs-0.1 · LF
Limited
Range Runs-1.8 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · LF
11
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.7% · rebadged research
22
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.6% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions68.1% · rebadged research
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
76
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
43
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 228 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.303 | 0.197 to 0.311 | +/- 0.057 |
| ISO | 0.167 | 0.094 to 0.244 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 4.2% | 0.9% to 6.0% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.3% | 22.3% to 44.6% | +/- 11.2% |
| K% | 25.6% | 12.4% to 31.3% | +/- 9.4% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 2.9% to 10.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.284 | 0.232 to 0.329 | +/- 0.049 |
vs LHP
10 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.052 |
| K% | 5.2% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
vs RHP
64 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.058 |
| K% | 5.1% |
| BB% | 2.6% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |