Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Rodríguez, Johnathan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.297 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.267 |
| Observed weight | 6% |
xwOBA
0.204
0.234
0.267
0.299
0.329
wOBA
0.134
0.205
0.283
0.362
0.432
ISO
0.070
0.106
0.147
0.187
0.224
K%
20.6%
24.8%
29.4%
34.1%
38.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.2 · RF
36
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.7 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.8% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 13.8% · rebadged research
98
Correct Decisions69.1% · rebadged research
79
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
47
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
55 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 246 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.309 | 0.183 to 0.314 | +/- 0.066 |
| ISO | 0.163 | 0.082 to 0.245 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 5.7% | 0.8% to 6.7% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.6% | 27.2% to 50.3% | +/- 11.6% |
| K% | 28.4% | 17.7% to 36.4% | +/- 9.4% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 4.0% to 12.6% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.305 | 0.177 to 0.345 | +/- 0.084 |
vs LHP
86 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.092 |
| K% | 10.5% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
40 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.086 |
| K% | 10.8% |
| BB% | 3.3% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |