Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Alvarez, Yordan
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.391 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.474 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.446 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Yordan Álvarez's tools (86) outpace production (77) by 9 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
Field-coordinate spray profile
197 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.082 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.071 |
| Sample | 433 PA |
positive regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 371 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.392 | 0.333 to 0.438 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.219 | 0.145 to 0.328 | +/- 0.091 |
| Barrel% | 9.3% | 6.8% to 12.3% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 50.2% | 41.4% to 56.2% | +/- 7.4% |
| K% | 18.0% | 13.7% to 25.6% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 11.2% | 9.0% to 14.4% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.311 | 0.261 to 0.355 | +/- 0.047 |
1118 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.325 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 8.3% |
2102 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.344 |
| K% | 13.0% |
| BB% | 11.2% |
| Barrel | 8.7% |