Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team LAD
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
50
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.256 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.357 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 16% |
xwOBA
0.183
0.226
0.273
0.320
0.362
wOBA
0.273
0.318
0.367
0.417
0.462
ISO
0.052
0.095
0.142
0.190
0.232
K%
17.9%
23.6%
29.9%
36.1%
41.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
43
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs0.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · LF
30
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions75.0% · rebadged research
97
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
13 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.267 | 0.118 to 0.328 | +/- 0.105 |
| ISO | 0.129 | 0.001 to 0.213 | +/- 0.106 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 6.4% | +/- 3.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.6% | 12.5% to 47.0% | +/- 17.3% |
| K% | 30.4% | 11.2% to 39.5% | +/- 14.1% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 2.0% to 9.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.133 to 0.372 | +/- 0.119 |
vs LHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.2% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
22 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.0% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |