Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Wilson, Will
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team SEA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.225 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.452 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.239 |
| Observed weight | 6% |
xwOBA
0.171
0.203
0.239
0.275
0.307
wOBA
0.875
0.911
0.950
0.989
1.000
ISO
0.032
0.068
0.109
0.149
0.185
K%
15.3%
19.9%
25.0%
30.1%
34.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
57
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.2% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions60.0% · rebadged research
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
34
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
14
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
66 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 255 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.243 | 0.135 to 0.278 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.126 | 0.046 to 0.208 | +/- 0.081 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 0.2% to 5.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.9% | 18.9% to 42.1% | +/- 11.6% |
| K% | 28.8% | 17.3% to 37.9% | +/- 10.3% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 2.7% to 9.6% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.189 to 0.360 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
72 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.067 |
| K% | 11.2% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |
vs RHP
94 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.065 |
| K% | 11.0% |
| BB% | 2.8% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |