Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Teodosio, Bryce
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
6
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.256 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.209 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.242 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
xwOBA
0.192
0.216
0.242
0.268
0.292
wOBA
0.245
0.275
0.307
0.340
0.369
ISO
0.044
0.070
0.099
0.128
0.154
K%
24.5%
27.3%
30.4%
33.5%
36.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.2%
14
Exit velocity74.9
0
Hard-hit%20.0%
2
-23 vs proj
xBA0.267
10
xSLG0.370
6
xwOBA0.209
2
-22 vs proj
BB%7.7%
41
+27 vs proj
Bat speed64.4
5
K%31.9%
9
-25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.9 · LF
36
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Arm Runs-0.4 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs3.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts4.0 · LF
39
Sprint Speed29.5 · LF
95
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.2% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
60
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
52 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.070 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| Sample | 91 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 276 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.279 | 0.183 to 0.317 | +/- 0.067 |
| ISO | 0.118 | 0.054 to 0.209 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 0.8% to 5.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.8% | 20.7% to 39.9% | +/- 9.6% |
| K% | 25.7% | 20.0% to 35.9% | +/- 7.9% |
| BB% | 5.0% | 1.5% to 7.7% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.205 to 0.365 | +/- 0.080 |
vs LHP
32 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 12.1% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.3% |
vs RHP
136 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.087 |
| K% | 13.1% |
| BB% | 1.3% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |